Big guns do battle in Gdansk.
The Group C clash between Spain and Italy would be a match befitting of the final in most tournaments yet we get treated to one of the best group matches at Euro 2012 in the first three days of competition. The game may be fascinating but we are far from guaranteed a goal fest from these two teams and that should be considered when betting on the Spain v Italy Odds.
Spain head into Euro 2012 as just about the favourites at 3/1 in the Euro Odds, ahead of the well touted Germany and clear of Italy who are deemed to be the sixth best team by the odds compilers at a generally available 16/1. That would suggest a relatively comfortable victory for the Spaniards but things are rarely comfortable against Italy, they are the team that went closest to knocking Spain out of the European Championships four years ago when taking them to penalties in the Quarter Finals. Neither side could score after 120 minutes of football and Italy have continued their tradition of being extremely well organised defensively since then, having conceded just two goals in nine qualifying matches.
Some would point to Spain’s free flowing attacking football as a reason why they should be able to break down Italy but Spain haven’t scored too many goals in their more difficult matches at major finals. They won three of their four knockout games at the World Cup 1-0 (the other was won 1-0 after extra time) and they also won the Euro 2008 final 1-0. It is also worth noting that Spain have been brilliant defensively in the more important major tournament matches, they’ve only conceded two goals in their last ten major tournament matches.
All of this points to a low scoring encounter and an encounter that if anyone wins, it will probably be Spain by a single goal. Under 2.5 goals should be a popular bet in this match at around 4/7 whilst there could be even more value in under 1.5 goals at 2/1. Meanwhile Spain can be backed at 5/1 to win this match 1-0.
Spain seem to be the team most pundits want to take on this year, partly due to injuries to key players David Villa and Carles Puyol. There hasn’t been much between Germany and Spain in recent tournaments, Spain knocked Germany out of the last World Cup and Euro 2008 with 1-0 wins but it could be argued that Germany have progressed further than Spain since then. If both teams win their groups they’ll avoid each other until the final so there has been plenty of interest in the 8/1 on the two teams making the Euro 2012 a repeat of the Euro 2008 final. On the other hand, you can get 14/1 that Spain defeat Germany in the final just like four years ago and 16/1 that Germany overcome Spain in the final this time.
Spain and Italy have been two of the most popular teams to bet on at Euro 2012 whether punters are supporting them or opposing them this summer. Click here for all the best bets on Spain and Italy at Euro 2012 as well as tips for all their matches.