We all think that Victor Wanyama to Tottenham Hotspur is pretty much a done deal.
The Southampton enforcer has already passed a medical with Spurs ahead of a reported £11m move.
But, according to the transfer geeks at Football Whispers, Wanyama to Tottenham only has a 3.9/5 chance of happening.
The same source rate Henrikh Mkhitaryan to Man United at 4.3/5.
Reports in Germany suggest that Borussia Dortmund are willing to part with Mkhitaryan for €40m.
United have apparently already had one bid – of just €24 – rejected for the 27-year-old Armenian.