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Arsene Wenger insists Arsenal can still win the title. They can’t and the Frenchman is one of a very small group who is refusing to admit as much. Five draws in their last six league games, at such a crucial time in the season, has exposed a lot of weaknesses and those weaknesses have more to do with confidence and self-belief than they do with the squad. Yes they could do with a few more experienced heads, better defenders and a captain who isn’t pining for a move to the Camp Nou but when you take a good hard look a Man United’s squad and factor in the injury problems they’ve had to deal with this season, these excuses seem weak. United will win the league because they believe they are the best team, no matter what the evidence may say. Arsenal don’t have that inner confidence. They may be beautiful but the harsh reality is that they’re just not great.

Looking at their trip to Bolton, their away record tells us that they are a decent bet at 3/4, especially considering they’ve beaten Wanderers nine times on the bounce. And Owen Coyle’s side are coming off the back of a thoroughly embarrassing thwacking at the hands of Stoke. However, Bolton do have an impressive home record and after their FA Cup beating they’ll feel they have a point to prove. At 7/2 they offer decent value though given Arsenal’s run of stalemates, the draw may be the more sensible bet at 11/4.

Robin Van Persie is the obvious favourite to score first 4/1 but considering Arsenal’s defence and the gaping holes it often affords opposition attackers, Daniel Sturridge at 7/1 or Johann Elmander at 9/1 could prove shrewder choices.

Even if Arsenal take three points from this game they’re still not going to win the title and after yet another morale-sapping capitulation against Spurs, their fragile self-belief may not stand up to a feisty Bolton team still smarting from their defeat to Stoke. If you don’t like sitting on the fence then take a chance on Bolton at 7/2, otherwise play it safe and go for the draw at 11/4.